Armenia is a real village against the developing Azerbaijan

News.Az interviews Fikrat Sadikhov, political scientist.

Is the Russian side sincere in its intentions in the issue of settlement of Karabakh conflict considering the fact that it frequently organized the meeting of the presidents of Azerbaijan and Armenia and proposed the initiative to hold the next meeting on 5 March?

First of all, I would like to note that politics and sincerity are opposite concepts. In fact, there is no sincerity in policy, policy is fully based on the real correlation of powers, national interests and Russia is no exception in this situation and this country remains the strategic ally of Armenia. But all the same Russia already has pragmatic forces, by the way, in the Kremlin too, which wanted to settle this issue, since they are sick and tired of the rigidness of Armenian politicians, official Yerevan.

Russia benefits from building mutually profitable partner relations with developing Azerbaijan, maintaining multilateral, partner relations in many ties.  Russia benefits from dealing with Azerbaijan which has done all for its development rather than supporting Armenia, which does not make any compromises. This has caused the Russian initiatives on holding the meetings of the presidents of Azerbaijan and Armenia.

Which position does Baku expect from Moscow in settling the Karabakh conflict and what can be the results of the new meeting of the presidents of Azerbaijan, Russia and Armenia?

The economic potential, military strength of Azerbaijan allow this country to use the forced way to restore its territorial integrity without any assistance. However, despite this Azerbaijan continues to bring Armenia to reason though the latter ignores the norms of international law.

Azerbaijan wants superpowers, primarily Russia, which geographically and historically understands the essence of the problem, to put the due pressure on Armenia to complete solve the Karabakh conflict.

Can the parties give any proposals to settle the Karabakh conflict and do the parties have such a potential?

There can not be any initiatives from the Azerbaijani side, whose lands are occupied. Azerbaijan should not be expected to make any initiatives also in the sense that this country continues peace talks though the occupation of its lands continues despite a number of resolutions were passed by international organizations in its favor.

As for Armenia, this country has exhausted its limit of trust to the world community. In addition, it should be noted that the world community offers different variants of solving the Karabakh conflict, in particular, the renewed variant of Madrid principles and one of the sides, Armenia, does not even respond to them. Which additional initiatives are being spoken of?

Azerbaijan's ambassador in Ukraine Eynulla Madatli said Baku may quit the format of the Prague process if Armenia protracts or gives a negative response to the proposals of the Minsk Group co-chairs based on the renewed Madrid principles. What has caused the stiffening of official Baku's position which, according to Madatli, is considering 'different variants' to restore the territorial integrity of the country?

By the way the same position was expressed by Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev. He repeatedly said that if negotiation process is deadlocked, Azerbaijan will think of different variants to settle the Karabakh conflict. All the same, the head of the state has never excluded the forced way to solve the Karabakh conflict. All the same, Azerbaijan's Defense Minister Safar Abiyev also made similar statements. In addition, Azerbaijan has never concealed that it will never allow the eternal continuation of the negotiation process and there is nothing extraordinary in that Azerbaijan took this stance.

Azerbaijan is able to settle the Karabakh conflict, since all events in the region, the geopolitical configuration currently established in the region, in particular, Turkey and Armenia's attempts to reconcile, Iran's attempts to play an active mediating role in Karabakh conflict, give no positive effect in the resolution of the Azerbaijani-Armenian conflict.

The only way to settle the problem is to liberate the occupied lands of Azerbaijan and further restore the previous status of Karabakh especially because the Azerbaijani side has repeatedly stated that the territorial integrity of Azerbaijan is not the subject of discussion and this reality must be taken into account in Yerevan.

Do you think a new war is the only alternative to the Prague process that is the peace settlement of the Karabakh conflict?

The failure to settle the Karabakh conflict is caused by the fact that superpowers continue putting the aggressor country on the same level with the country that suffered aggression. In the result of this attempt to create a balance between countries Armenia does not fulfill the basic norms and principles of international law reflected in numerous resolutions and decisions of international organizations, as well as the statements of superpowers. This makes a new war inevitable.

All the same,  there is one more alternative variant of the conflict settlement which is the repetition of the events in Arab world in Armenia. Sooner or later these events will occur in Armenia, the people will overthrow powers in Yerevan, since the current famine-stricken Armenia will not stand these tensions for long.  Armenia is a real village on the background of developing Azerbaijan and the events inside it cause its complete impoverishment.

If in this case the events in Armenia develop by the Egyptian script, the country may lose everything, even more than it occupied.

Lala B.
News.Az